Evaluating uncertain flood inundation predictions with uncertain remotely sensed water stages
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Predictions from Uncertain Beliefs
According to probabilistic theories of higher cognition, beliefs come in degrees. Here, we test this idea by studying how people make predictions from uncertain beliefs. According to the degrees-of-belief theory, people should take account of both highand low-probability beliefs when making predictions that depend on which of those beliefs are true. In contrast, according to the all-or-none the...
متن کاملPredictions with Uncertain Categorization: A Rational Model
A key function of categories is to help predictions about unobserved features of objects. At the same time, humans often find themselves in situations where the categories of the objects they perceive are uncertain. How do people make predictions about unobserved features in such situations? We propose a rational model that solves this problem. Our model complements existing models in that it i...
متن کاملEvaluating Remotely Sensed Live Fuel Moisture Estimations for Fire Behavior Predictions
Contemporary research has shown that remote sensing techniques can be used for estimating live fuel moisture content (FMC) from space. These remote sensing based live FMC measurements must conform to some accuracy requirements to be of any practical use in fire behavior predictions. This paper thus investigates the potential errors in live FMC estimations using two simple established techniques...
متن کاملHow Uncertain Are Solar Neutrino Predictions?
Solar neutrino fluxes and sound speeds are calculated using a systematic reevaluation of nuclear fusion rates. The largest uncertainties are identified and their effects on the solar neutrino fluxes are estimated. q 1998 Elsevier Science B.V. All
متن کاملEvacuation Planning with Flood Inundation as Inputs
Recent flooding events happening in our city demonstrate frequency and severity of floods in the UK, highlighting the need to plan and prepare, and efficiently defend. Different from the numerous evacuation model and optimization algorithms, this paper aims to address flood evacuation planning with flood inundation as inputs. A dynamic flooding model and prediction to estimate the development o...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of River Basin Management
سال: 2008
ISSN: 1571-5124,1814-2060
DOI: 10.1080/15715124.2008.9635347